Gmeow it’s been a while - I am restarting liquid token pitch articles! Paid Substack readers will get the liquid pitches before I publish it; but since this is my first article in a while, I made it free across all platforms :)
Do note that 0xKyle’s Substack, and my writing in general, is considered separate from the fund and does not represent the fund’s positions. I usually try to be as transparent as possible with these things - as such, here’s the disclaimer:
Disclaimer
This content, which contains security-related or non-security related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or to be regarded as an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You should always consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment.
The commentary in any of my posts (including but not limited to those on my blog (https://0xkyle.substack.com/), and social media (https://x.com/0xkyle__)) reflect the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of myself only, and should not be regarded as the views of my employer DeFiance Capital or its respective affiliates. Commentary on any projects, protocols, companies or other subject matter discussed in my posts should not be taken or interpreted as an indication that DeFiance Capital holds any interest in the subject matter discussed. Neither DeFiance Capital nor myself will be liable for any actions arising from assumptions made with respect to myself or DeFiance Capital based on my posts.
Any opinions expressed herein do not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship, or recommendation by me. I may invest in any of the projects, protocols, companies or other subject matter discussed without obligations to inform or disclose such investments to you, the reader. The views reflected in the commentary are subject to change at any time without notice.
Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. It also should not be construed as an offer soliciting the purchase or sale of any security mentioned. Nor should it be construed as an offer to provide investment advisory services by myself. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security.
Any charts provided here or on any of my personal platforms are for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Information in charts have been obtained from third-party sources and data. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, I have not independently verified such information and make no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. In addition, posts may include third-party advertisements; I make no representations of having reviewed such advertisements and do not endorse any advertising content contained therein. All content speaks only as of the date indicated. The information provided here (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information.
I may receive payment from various entities for advertisements on my blog or social media from time to time. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith by me. In addition, any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security.
I DO NOT WARRANT, ENDORSE, GUARANTEE, OR ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY PRODUCT OR SERVICE ADVERTISED OR OFFERED BY A THIRD-PARTY WEBSITE, AND I WILL NOT BE A PARTY TO OR IN ANY WAY MONITOR ANY TRANSACTION BETWEEN YOU AND THIRD-PARTY PROVIDERS OF PRODUCTS OR SERVICES. I SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY DAMAGES OR COSTS OF ANY TYPE ARISING OUT OF OR IN ANY WAY CONNECTED WITH YOUR USE OF THE SERVICES OF ANY BROKERAGE COMPANY.
As always please remember investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional.
Again,
Without further ado, let’s begin:
TLDR:
First, let me start with the elephant in the room. The knee-jerk reaction from people when they hear the ticker is one of hesitation - usually because of how overly complicated it’s been, trying to do “too many things”, or a bad experience trading FRAX previously.
Before reading the rest of this article, I urge you to completely shed any past biases you’ve had on FRAX, and approach it with as much of an open mind that you can. Pretend that it’s your first time seeing this - because I sincerely believe that Frax as a whole has completely changed itself to become an entirely different application, making a pivot so momentous that changes the thesis entirely. Let’s dive right in:
The stablecoin narrative is one that every crypto participant well understands and agrees has a large Total Addressable Market (TAM). Despite this, I see very little talk on the timeline about the GENIUS & STABLE bills - two landmark bills that define stablecoin legislation by the US Congress. Why is this so? Well, I believe it’s because politics is an extremely arduous process with many hurdles. People have low expectations of outcomes, and think it’s a nothingburger. Most people look at these bills as being somewhat important, but also don’t have a basic understanding of its magnitude. At best, they think it’s pretty cool a stablecoin bill is being passed, but at worst, they expect many delays, and ultimately, for it to be a nothing burger.
However, I would like to assure you that these bills are actually pretty important in defining the future era of stablecoins. To start with, I’d like to provide a ChatGPT summary of the two bills for you to peruse:
There are two very important takeaways from the bills:
Firstly, they define what payment stablecoins are in legal terms. The GENIUS Act will formally allow payment stablecoin (PS) issuers to issue digital dollars that are legally compliant as bank settlement media and used for interbank payments across the US and global financial system.
Payment stablecoins are the largest structural change that levels the playing field for new innovations and opens the entire multi-trillion US banking sector for stablecoin startups. The total $200B stablecoin market cap is only 1% of the total M1 money supply. The US stablecoin bill enshrines payment stablecoins as legal M1 digital dollars for the first time in history. In other words, the great stablecoin game is about to begin.
Secondly, this bill is monumental in creating a framework for stablecoins to be regulated by federal standards, and perhaps more importantly, would most definitely set the standard for global stablecoin issuance worldwide. Today, stablecoins exist within a legal gray area – there is no real regulatory framework for stablecoins, within the United States today. This prevents traditional players from truly integrating stablecoins and makes it hard for existing players to scale to their maximum potential. This bill changes all of that, and thus, I believe will truly ring the bell to usher in the great era of stablecoins.
Now, I am proud to say that there are multiple crypto people in DC that are helping draft this momentous bill – and Frax’s Sam Kazemian is one of them. I believe the greatness of this feat has gone unnoticed – Sam is working at the highest level of Washington DC, helping to draft the bills. If you ask him, he’d point out the parts of the bill in which he personally had a hand in giving suggestions!
People in crypto like to say that crypto founders are not doing anything real, or that crypto lacks fundamentals – well, here you have a founder, in the most powerful levels of the political echelon, single-handedly helping draft the stablecoin bill. I believe that it is not an understatement to say that Sam’s achievements place him in a league of his own among crypto founders.
This is not just a DeFi protocol anymore – it’s a monetary institution that is building with regulatory clarity in mind before it even passes – Frax is now ready to scale legally, institutionally and globally.
Now that the context has been set, I can go on to talk about what FRAX is building today. Frax isn’t just building a stablecoin – it’s building an entire monetary system that integrates TradFi & DeFi into one cohesive stack, with the goal of capturing the global M1 money supply. Frax is executing this through vertically integrated architecture that spans issuance, yield, and settlement – the three pillars of a modern banking system, across three components:
frxUSD is Frax’s flagship stablecoin - a 1:1 fully backed digital dollar supported by short-term U.S. Treasuries and cash equivalents. It’s extremely important to note that this is nothing like Frax’s previous stablecoin – frxUSD is designed to qualify under the GENIUS Act as a payment stablecoin (hence, Sam spending so much time in DC).
frxUSD is fully backed by cash and short-term T-bills, custodied via Blackrock and Superstate (BUIDL and UStb). frxUSD aims to be the first payment stablecoin in the U.S. with legal tender characteristics, compliant reserve structure, and institutional integrations.
This is the most exciting part to me. If frxUSD is the dollar, FraxNet is the banking interface. FraxNet is basically a stablecoin banking app – fully KYC’ed, custodial-compliant, but natively on-chain.Imagine logging into your account, seeing your Goldman Sachs MMF holdings, minting frxUSD against it, and then streaming your yield back to your Fraxtal address – in real time.
The North Star here is simple: turn every traditional Money-Market Fund (MMF) dollar into an on-chain, interoperable dollar. Frax has partnered with Stripe and Bridge to do this – with the recent announcement of Stripe’s stablecoin integrations, this should come as no surprise.
In my opinion, this is what makes Frax exciting – a stablecoin with real world asset alignment, addressing a trillion dollar addressable market.
Lastly, we move on to Frax’s native chain, Fraxtal. Fraxtal is where frxUSD will be natively issued, transferred, and settled. It’s hardforked from Optimism Bedrock, has native bridging like Circle’s CCTP, and is optimized for frxUSD to be the unit of account.
Fraxtal also uses FRAX (previously FXS) as their gas token - This means every single app built on Fraxtal – from FraxLend to FraxSwap to Frax Name Service – will require FRAX to operate. And more than that, fees from these apps go straight to buying and burning FRAX.
I believe that what Sam is trying to do with FRAX is an ambition like no other. FRAX has shed its old skin of being a decentralized stablecoin. Instead, FRAX is building a full-stack monetary system with the following parts:
It’s the convergence of cashflow, utility, and growth. And what gets me the most excited about this is the amount of effort Sam is putting into this to make it regulatory compliant. There is simply no other decentralized stablecoin issuer that is putting themselves on this compliant, transparent, and legitimate path.
With all eyes on stablecoins, the next wave of adoption – real, scaled, trillion-dollar wave – is going to come from institutions and consumers who need to comply with laws. They need redemption rights. They need clarity. They need to be able to walk into a boardroom and say “yes, this is compliant under U.S. law.”
And Frax is building exactly for that world. This is what product-market-regulatory-fit looks like.
Now that I’ve covered the current context, let’s move on to the more minute changes Frax has undergone recently that add more tailwinds to the protocol. This part mostly goes through the changes made in FIP-428 which you can read here if you want.
In essence:
There’s a few more points, but these are the most important in my opinion. FIP-428 is a beautiful proposal that essentially ties the entire ecosystem to one token, and one token only: FRAX. Every part of the Frax system now loops back into the token; Fees from Fraxtal? Burn FRAX. FXTL Emissions? Only goes to users holding and staking FRAX. Validators staking in the future? Requires FRAX. Governance? veFRAX. And above all, FRAX is now a L1 token as it’s the chain’s native gas token.
Frax has essentially created a monetary loop with internal demand, utility, and sinks. And that’s why I think people are sleeping on this – In my opinion, the takeaway here is understanding that this isn’t just a simple rebrand. Frax is becoming the most regulatory-aligned, yield-generating, vertically integrated dollar stack in crypto.
Lastly, let’s talk upside. Everyone knows stablecoins are the darling product of crypto, servicing the largest total addressable market - i.e the world. The stablecoin narrative is extremely well understood - however, the list of available tokens to position into to capture this, is extremely small.
Frax is, in my opinion, the best liquid token to long for the stablecoin narrative with incredible upside. On top of the North Star upgrade and building the entire banking stack, Frax sits in the best position within the stablecoin value chain.
The reason is simple - issuers capture the largest share of the economic pie compared to other players - not DEXes, nor lending markets, or payment apps. Controlling issuance is a monumental value-driver that captures the deepest margins - as they say, whoever owns distribution, wins.
It’s why USDC / USDT are the most sought after products on the market today from an investments perspective - too bad they don’t have a token! Below I’ve made a comparison table with other liquid tokens as well, to showcase why Frax is the best token in liquid markets to represent the stablecoin thesis today:
FRAX on the other hand, is almost fully diluted and sits at (as of 10 May) $276mm MC / $304mm FDV. This is a token with partnerships with Bridge & Stripe, sitting at sub $500m. Let me remind you that $ai16z right now (as of 14 May) sits at $384m MC – basically 2x of FRAX.
Secondly, the under positioning is real. As I said at the start, everyone I’ve pitched this to has expressed some sort of disdain towards the protocol. I’m pretty sure everyone is offsides – and with a chart like that, I’m not surprised. All the more reason to buy – it’s an asymmetric play with incredible upside at current price points; If Sam executes (and he has so far, making partnerships with all these giants) – the growth is there to be captured.
Now that I’ve covered the upside, let’s talk risks. The risks here are pretty straightforward, actually:
1.The stablecoin bill gets delayed, doesn’t pass, or changes in a way that affects FRAX.
This is actually happening right now – just a few days ago, the bill failed to clear the U.S. Senate – I will say that I know very little about the process that goes on in DC. However, let me direct you to Sam, who has been working with these guys for the past few months; I quote:
“Not as big of a deal as people are making it out to be. We never expected this to pass until late July before Congress’ August recess. Part of the political process, it wasn’t like this was going to pass 3 months ahead of expectations. I’m an optimist but not THAT optimistic. It’s all still realistic and on pace for July which was always my expectation.”
July will be one to watch – now, if it doesn’t pass in July, I’d start getting worried. But till then, I’m chill.
2.Why have I talked about the GENIUS Act so much and not the STABLE Act? What if the STABLE Act passes instead?
Again, according to Sam, that’s not how it works - they will likely both pass their chamber votes and there will be reconciliation period where there’ll be a compromise final draft that gets sent to the president’s desk. It will likely look more like the GENIUS Act than the Stable Act, which is what’s important.
3.What’s the worst case?
Neither of the bills passing – such a case will probably only happen if a catastrophe strikes – e.g global financial implosion, in which efforts are totally derailed.
In any case, I also believe that the thesis doesn’t solely hinge on the bills – Frax has shown to be doing monumental work in improving the protocol, which I feel is good reason to bet on them.
4.Failure to deliver on the promise
I see this to be highly unlikely given that he’s spent all this time in DC going full founder mode.
To wrap this up — FRAX is no longer the half-backed algo-stable you might remember from 2022. It’s evolved into a full-stack monetary system, built around regulatory clarity, institutional alignment, and vertical integration. The founder is in DC helping policymakers. The stablecoin is backed by T-Bills and custodied by institutions. The token is getting real utility — gas, governance, burn mechanics, etc.
In my opinion, it represents the purest stablecoin bet that exists in crypto right now – and you don’t get setups like this often. A token trading below $ai16z, tied directly to the largest TAM in crypto — the dollar itself! I am excited to see what the future holds for FRAX.
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Content
Gmeow it’s been a while - I am restarting liquid token pitch articles! Paid Substack readers will get the liquid pitches before I publish it; but since this is my first article in a while, I made it free across all platforms :)
Do note that 0xKyle’s Substack, and my writing in general, is considered separate from the fund and does not represent the fund’s positions. I usually try to be as transparent as possible with these things - as such, here’s the disclaimer:
Disclaimer
This content, which contains security-related or non-security related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or to be regarded as an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. You should always consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment.
The commentary in any of my posts (including but not limited to those on my blog (https://0xkyle.substack.com/), and social media (https://x.com/0xkyle__)) reflect the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of myself only, and should not be regarded as the views of my employer DeFiance Capital or its respective affiliates. Commentary on any projects, protocols, companies or other subject matter discussed in my posts should not be taken or interpreted as an indication that DeFiance Capital holds any interest in the subject matter discussed. Neither DeFiance Capital nor myself will be liable for any actions arising from assumptions made with respect to myself or DeFiance Capital based on my posts.
Any opinions expressed herein do not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship, or recommendation by me. I may invest in any of the projects, protocols, companies or other subject matter discussed without obligations to inform or disclose such investments to you, the reader. The views reflected in the commentary are subject to change at any time without notice.
Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. It also should not be construed as an offer soliciting the purchase or sale of any security mentioned. Nor should it be construed as an offer to provide investment advisory services by myself. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security.
Any charts provided here or on any of my personal platforms are for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Information in charts have been obtained from third-party sources and data. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, I have not independently verified such information and make no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. In addition, posts may include third-party advertisements; I make no representations of having reviewed such advertisements and do not endorse any advertising content contained therein. All content speaks only as of the date indicated. The information provided here (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information.
I may receive payment from various entities for advertisements on my blog or social media from time to time. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith by me. In addition, any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security.
I DO NOT WARRANT, ENDORSE, GUARANTEE, OR ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY PRODUCT OR SERVICE ADVERTISED OR OFFERED BY A THIRD-PARTY WEBSITE, AND I WILL NOT BE A PARTY TO OR IN ANY WAY MONITOR ANY TRANSACTION BETWEEN YOU AND THIRD-PARTY PROVIDERS OF PRODUCTS OR SERVICES. I SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY DAMAGES OR COSTS OF ANY TYPE ARISING OUT OF OR IN ANY WAY CONNECTED WITH YOUR USE OF THE SERVICES OF ANY BROKERAGE COMPANY.
As always please remember investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional.
Again,
Without further ado, let’s begin:
TLDR:
First, let me start with the elephant in the room. The knee-jerk reaction from people when they hear the ticker is one of hesitation - usually because of how overly complicated it’s been, trying to do “too many things”, or a bad experience trading FRAX previously.
Before reading the rest of this article, I urge you to completely shed any past biases you’ve had on FRAX, and approach it with as much of an open mind that you can. Pretend that it’s your first time seeing this - because I sincerely believe that Frax as a whole has completely changed itself to become an entirely different application, making a pivot so momentous that changes the thesis entirely. Let’s dive right in:
The stablecoin narrative is one that every crypto participant well understands and agrees has a large Total Addressable Market (TAM). Despite this, I see very little talk on the timeline about the GENIUS & STABLE bills - two landmark bills that define stablecoin legislation by the US Congress. Why is this so? Well, I believe it’s because politics is an extremely arduous process with many hurdles. People have low expectations of outcomes, and think it’s a nothingburger. Most people look at these bills as being somewhat important, but also don’t have a basic understanding of its magnitude. At best, they think it’s pretty cool a stablecoin bill is being passed, but at worst, they expect many delays, and ultimately, for it to be a nothing burger.
However, I would like to assure you that these bills are actually pretty important in defining the future era of stablecoins. To start with, I’d like to provide a ChatGPT summary of the two bills for you to peruse:
There are two very important takeaways from the bills:
Firstly, they define what payment stablecoins are in legal terms. The GENIUS Act will formally allow payment stablecoin (PS) issuers to issue digital dollars that are legally compliant as bank settlement media and used for interbank payments across the US and global financial system.
Payment stablecoins are the largest structural change that levels the playing field for new innovations and opens the entire multi-trillion US banking sector for stablecoin startups. The total $200B stablecoin market cap is only 1% of the total M1 money supply. The US stablecoin bill enshrines payment stablecoins as legal M1 digital dollars for the first time in history. In other words, the great stablecoin game is about to begin.
Secondly, this bill is monumental in creating a framework for stablecoins to be regulated by federal standards, and perhaps more importantly, would most definitely set the standard for global stablecoin issuance worldwide. Today, stablecoins exist within a legal gray area – there is no real regulatory framework for stablecoins, within the United States today. This prevents traditional players from truly integrating stablecoins and makes it hard for existing players to scale to their maximum potential. This bill changes all of that, and thus, I believe will truly ring the bell to usher in the great era of stablecoins.
Now, I am proud to say that there are multiple crypto people in DC that are helping draft this momentous bill – and Frax’s Sam Kazemian is one of them. I believe the greatness of this feat has gone unnoticed – Sam is working at the highest level of Washington DC, helping to draft the bills. If you ask him, he’d point out the parts of the bill in which he personally had a hand in giving suggestions!
People in crypto like to say that crypto founders are not doing anything real, or that crypto lacks fundamentals – well, here you have a founder, in the most powerful levels of the political echelon, single-handedly helping draft the stablecoin bill. I believe that it is not an understatement to say that Sam’s achievements place him in a league of his own among crypto founders.
This is not just a DeFi protocol anymore – it’s a monetary institution that is building with regulatory clarity in mind before it even passes – Frax is now ready to scale legally, institutionally and globally.
Now that the context has been set, I can go on to talk about what FRAX is building today. Frax isn’t just building a stablecoin – it’s building an entire monetary system that integrates TradFi & DeFi into one cohesive stack, with the goal of capturing the global M1 money supply. Frax is executing this through vertically integrated architecture that spans issuance, yield, and settlement – the three pillars of a modern banking system, across three components:
frxUSD is Frax’s flagship stablecoin - a 1:1 fully backed digital dollar supported by short-term U.S. Treasuries and cash equivalents. It’s extremely important to note that this is nothing like Frax’s previous stablecoin – frxUSD is designed to qualify under the GENIUS Act as a payment stablecoin (hence, Sam spending so much time in DC).
frxUSD is fully backed by cash and short-term T-bills, custodied via Blackrock and Superstate (BUIDL and UStb). frxUSD aims to be the first payment stablecoin in the U.S. with legal tender characteristics, compliant reserve structure, and institutional integrations.
This is the most exciting part to me. If frxUSD is the dollar, FraxNet is the banking interface. FraxNet is basically a stablecoin banking app – fully KYC’ed, custodial-compliant, but natively on-chain.Imagine logging into your account, seeing your Goldman Sachs MMF holdings, minting frxUSD against it, and then streaming your yield back to your Fraxtal address – in real time.
The North Star here is simple: turn every traditional Money-Market Fund (MMF) dollar into an on-chain, interoperable dollar. Frax has partnered with Stripe and Bridge to do this – with the recent announcement of Stripe’s stablecoin integrations, this should come as no surprise.
In my opinion, this is what makes Frax exciting – a stablecoin with real world asset alignment, addressing a trillion dollar addressable market.
Lastly, we move on to Frax’s native chain, Fraxtal. Fraxtal is where frxUSD will be natively issued, transferred, and settled. It’s hardforked from Optimism Bedrock, has native bridging like Circle’s CCTP, and is optimized for frxUSD to be the unit of account.
Fraxtal also uses FRAX (previously FXS) as their gas token - This means every single app built on Fraxtal – from FraxLend to FraxSwap to Frax Name Service – will require FRAX to operate. And more than that, fees from these apps go straight to buying and burning FRAX.
I believe that what Sam is trying to do with FRAX is an ambition like no other. FRAX has shed its old skin of being a decentralized stablecoin. Instead, FRAX is building a full-stack monetary system with the following parts:
It’s the convergence of cashflow, utility, and growth. And what gets me the most excited about this is the amount of effort Sam is putting into this to make it regulatory compliant. There is simply no other decentralized stablecoin issuer that is putting themselves on this compliant, transparent, and legitimate path.
With all eyes on stablecoins, the next wave of adoption – real, scaled, trillion-dollar wave – is going to come from institutions and consumers who need to comply with laws. They need redemption rights. They need clarity. They need to be able to walk into a boardroom and say “yes, this is compliant under U.S. law.”
And Frax is building exactly for that world. This is what product-market-regulatory-fit looks like.
Now that I’ve covered the current context, let’s move on to the more minute changes Frax has undergone recently that add more tailwinds to the protocol. This part mostly goes through the changes made in FIP-428 which you can read here if you want.
In essence:
There’s a few more points, but these are the most important in my opinion. FIP-428 is a beautiful proposal that essentially ties the entire ecosystem to one token, and one token only: FRAX. Every part of the Frax system now loops back into the token; Fees from Fraxtal? Burn FRAX. FXTL Emissions? Only goes to users holding and staking FRAX. Validators staking in the future? Requires FRAX. Governance? veFRAX. And above all, FRAX is now a L1 token as it’s the chain’s native gas token.
Frax has essentially created a monetary loop with internal demand, utility, and sinks. And that’s why I think people are sleeping on this – In my opinion, the takeaway here is understanding that this isn’t just a simple rebrand. Frax is becoming the most regulatory-aligned, yield-generating, vertically integrated dollar stack in crypto.
Lastly, let’s talk upside. Everyone knows stablecoins are the darling product of crypto, servicing the largest total addressable market - i.e the world. The stablecoin narrative is extremely well understood - however, the list of available tokens to position into to capture this, is extremely small.
Frax is, in my opinion, the best liquid token to long for the stablecoin narrative with incredible upside. On top of the North Star upgrade and building the entire banking stack, Frax sits in the best position within the stablecoin value chain.
The reason is simple - issuers capture the largest share of the economic pie compared to other players - not DEXes, nor lending markets, or payment apps. Controlling issuance is a monumental value-driver that captures the deepest margins - as they say, whoever owns distribution, wins.
It’s why USDC / USDT are the most sought after products on the market today from an investments perspective - too bad they don’t have a token! Below I’ve made a comparison table with other liquid tokens as well, to showcase why Frax is the best token in liquid markets to represent the stablecoin thesis today:
FRAX on the other hand, is almost fully diluted and sits at (as of 10 May) $276mm MC / $304mm FDV. This is a token with partnerships with Bridge & Stripe, sitting at sub $500m. Let me remind you that $ai16z right now (as of 14 May) sits at $384m MC – basically 2x of FRAX.
Secondly, the under positioning is real. As I said at the start, everyone I’ve pitched this to has expressed some sort of disdain towards the protocol. I’m pretty sure everyone is offsides – and with a chart like that, I’m not surprised. All the more reason to buy – it’s an asymmetric play with incredible upside at current price points; If Sam executes (and he has so far, making partnerships with all these giants) – the growth is there to be captured.
Now that I’ve covered the upside, let’s talk risks. The risks here are pretty straightforward, actually:
1.The stablecoin bill gets delayed, doesn’t pass, or changes in a way that affects FRAX.
This is actually happening right now – just a few days ago, the bill failed to clear the U.S. Senate – I will say that I know very little about the process that goes on in DC. However, let me direct you to Sam, who has been working with these guys for the past few months; I quote:
“Not as big of a deal as people are making it out to be. We never expected this to pass until late July before Congress’ August recess. Part of the political process, it wasn’t like this was going to pass 3 months ahead of expectations. I’m an optimist but not THAT optimistic. It’s all still realistic and on pace for July which was always my expectation.”
July will be one to watch – now, if it doesn’t pass in July, I’d start getting worried. But till then, I’m chill.
2.Why have I talked about the GENIUS Act so much and not the STABLE Act? What if the STABLE Act passes instead?
Again, according to Sam, that’s not how it works - they will likely both pass their chamber votes and there will be reconciliation period where there’ll be a compromise final draft that gets sent to the president’s desk. It will likely look more like the GENIUS Act than the Stable Act, which is what’s important.
3.What’s the worst case?
Neither of the bills passing – such a case will probably only happen if a catastrophe strikes – e.g global financial implosion, in which efforts are totally derailed.
In any case, I also believe that the thesis doesn’t solely hinge on the bills – Frax has shown to be doing monumental work in improving the protocol, which I feel is good reason to bet on them.
4.Failure to deliver on the promise
I see this to be highly unlikely given that he’s spent all this time in DC going full founder mode.
To wrap this up — FRAX is no longer the half-backed algo-stable you might remember from 2022. It’s evolved into a full-stack monetary system, built around regulatory clarity, institutional alignment, and vertical integration. The founder is in DC helping policymakers. The stablecoin is backed by T-Bills and custodied by institutions. The token is getting real utility — gas, governance, burn mechanics, etc.
In my opinion, it represents the purest stablecoin bet that exists in crypto right now – and you don’t get setups like this often. A token trading below $ai16z, tied directly to the largest TAM in crypto — the dollar itself! I am excited to see what the future holds for FRAX.