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#ETH# Ethereum range oscillation long and short strategy: 4165 support level becomes key defense line
1. Core operational signals: critical points of breakthrough and defense
• Long Strategy:
1. Breakthrough at $4252 → enter long on the right side, with "recovering this level" as a dynamic stop-loss (confirm the validity of the breakout);
2. Pullback to $4157 with support holding → take a small long position, stop loss at $4107 (if broken, then support is invalid);
3. Hourly level holds at $4279 → trend continuation signal, target successively looks at $4308 → $4347;
4. Left-side ambush: Long order at $4071, stop loss at $4032 (pullback low absorption layout, needs caution).
• Short-selling strategy:
1. If the volume drops below $4215 → short on the right side, strictly set stop-loss (to guard against the risk of a pullback);
2. Encounter resistance at $4347 above → light short position, must stop loss if it breaks and stabilizes above $4370 (critical point of pressure level defense).
2. Key levels for range oscillation: step layout of resistance and support.
• Resistance level: $4279 (breakthrough confirmation line) → $4308 (short-term resistance) → $4347 (upper range), each breakthrough requires volume support;
• support level bottom line: 4216 USD (immediate defense) → 4157 USD (range mid-axis support) → 4103 USD (deep pullback buffer), the strength of support needs to be judged in conjunction with the recovery situation after the pin.
3. 4-hour level breakout warning: $4165 is the "waterfall" switch.
The second pie is currently in a range oscillation marked in the chart, with the core observation point being the support level of 4165 USD:
• The repeated downward pinning to $4165 without breaking indicates that the support at this position is "quite strong," making it an important bottom line in the current oscillation pattern.
• If the 4-hour level breaks below $4164 (strongly correlated with $4165), then the retracement space opens up, targeting sequentially $4074→$4010, and a "waterfall" market may start. The gain or loss at this level is the key to determining whether the fluctuation can continue.
Summary: Do not rush within the range, and do not hesitate after breaking the level.
The current core contradiction of Ethereum is "range oscillation unbroken + repeated testing of the 4165 support level". Operations need to closely follow: look for bullish signals after breaking the resistance level, and be wary of a drop if the support level is breached. The $4165 mark serves as the "line of life and death", and its defensive effect should be closely monitored. Remember: in oscillating markets, patiently waiting for breakout signals is more important than blindly guessing the direction.
Meeting adjourned.